How likely is Trump to be impeached? The three presidents who have received impeachment inquiries did not run for reelection. Trump is already running again for the 2020 presidential election. With percentages growing against his favor, however, it’s possible that even if he does run, his campaign will be drastically affected.
A president cannot pardon themself to avoid conviction. When the requirements were written for impeachment, they limited the consequences down to two: removal of office, and to be dis-entittled from the office.
However, keep in mind, a president who is removed is not disqualified from reelection. But that doesn’t mean we should despair. A successful impeachment, especially considering how Trump is handling it, is sure to hurt his chances.
Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted presidential elections accurately since the 80s, when Ronald Regan was elected. Lichtman’s theory behind his predictions eliminates the candidate itself and focuses on the party. Lichtman states there are 13 keys that can assist in election. If either party holds six of those keys, they win. So far, the democrats only have four keys against the republicans. However, this inquiry could trigger the turning of more keys in their favor. How would Impeachment Impact Us? Through the history of U.S. impeachments, not one person has been convicted. Still, this scandal of impeachment can assist the democratic party by giving them a major advantage. Still, despite all odds, Trump still has the possibility of being elected for his second term.
Now, for another question on queer folks’ minds. If Trump is removed from office, will his allowances of discrimination be thrown out, too?
The way Trump runs the country paved way for loose ends to unravel when it comes down to morality. We all felt the tension and have seen more examples of unjust actions towards humans through his term. The fact remains that some laws and rulings can be overturned, but the movement of hate he has mobilized will remain.Photo by Veronica L. Holyfield
